Policy & GovernanceClimate

Rosebank approval remains undecided amid report of possible rejection

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Evidence / Opinion70 / 30
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Consensus / Contested65 / 35
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a group of oil rigs in the ocean
Illustrative image by Ben Wicks on Unsplash | Unsplash License

Last updated 22 October 2026. This story may be updated as it develops.

The story at a glance

The Guardian reported on 21 October 2026 that Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh was leaning towards rejecting the Rosebank oilfield. The report described a possible direction of travel, not a final decision, and the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero called it speculation.1

Rosebank’s earlier consent was reduced after a court found that downstream emissions had not been considered in the environmental assessment. The project is now subject to lawful reconsideration, while the government’s decision remains pending.123

The story in brief

What you need to know

  • The reported inclination to refuse approval is unconfirmed. The Guardian said Fahnbulleh could still make a final decision, but also reported that Prime Minister Andy Burnham could overrule her. The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero described the report as speculation.1
  • A decision is expected before the end of 2026, according to The Guardian, but the government has not announced a final ruling. The Associated Press also reported that Rosebank remained undecided on 21 October, when the government approved the separate Jackdaw gas project.13
  • The Court of Session did not decide whether Rosebank should proceed. Its 2025 judgment reduced the previous consent because the environmental assessment omitted downstream emissions, requiring the project to be reconsidered lawfully.2
  • The Guardian reported Fahnbulleh distinguishing Rosebank, an oil project mainly intended for export, from Jackdaw, a gas project described as serving the domestic market. That distinction forms part of the reported reasoning, not a final government finding.1
  • The debate includes opposing claims about the project’s public interest. Nearly 600 climate scientists, health professionals and conservationists urged rejection, according to The Independent; AP reported that supporters cited energy security, jobs and domestic production.43

Conservation context

Why this matters

The case tests how a major fossil-fuel consent decision will address emissions beyond a project’s immediate operations. The court required those downstream emissions to be considered, but left the decision on whether Rosebank should proceed to the lawful reconsideration process.2

The developing story

What happens next

Officials must complete the reconsideration before a final decision is announced. Key unresolved steps are whether Fahnbulleh recommends refusal, whether Burnham accepts or overrules her, and when the government will publish its ruling.12

Established evidence

What we know

  • The earlier Rosebank consent was reduced by the Court of Session after the environmental assessment failed to account for downstream emissions.2
  • The court required lawful reconsideration; it did not rule that the oilfield must be approved or rejected.2
  • As of 21 October 2026, reporting by The Guardian and AP described the Rosebank decision as pending.13

Open questions

What we don't know

  • It is not confirmed whether Fahnbulleh will ultimately recommend refusing consent. The reported inclination has been called speculation by the department.1
  • It remains unclear whether Burnham would accept or overrule any recommendation from Fahnbulleh.1
  • The final lawful assessment and decision have not been published, so the outcome for the project and the timing of the announcement remain unresolved.12

Source coverage

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