Wildlife

Long-term analysis finds declining occupancy among many European wild bees and hoverflies

Ecological / Economic95 / 5
EcologicalEconomic
Evidence / Opinion90 / 10
EvidenceOpinion
Consensus / Contested85 / 15
ConsensusContested
A bee sitting on top of a yellow flower
Illustrative image by Artists Eyes on Unsplash | Unsplash License

Last updated 20 October 2026. This story may be updated as it develops.

The story at a glance

An analysis covering the past century found declining occupancy for most of the wild bee species assessed and about half of the hoverfly species. Occupancy measures the likelihood of a species being recorded at a site, not its population size.1

The regional picture is less uniform: richness declined in some European regions, while recent increases were reported for Alpine bees. The findings describe trends, but do not establish what caused them.2

The story in brief

What you need to know

  • The central finding is about occupancy, or the likelihood of a species being recorded at a site. It should not be presented as a direct measurement of population size or abundance.1
  • Regional species richness changed less than the occupancy trends might suggest. It declined for both groups in Atlantic and Continental regions, while being largely stable elsewhere.2
  • Recent increases in regional bee richness were reported in the Alpine region. An external expert cautioned that this broad result may not capture local conditions or the situation of threatened species.2
  • The analysis reported recent records for 87% of bee species and 89% of hoverfly species. Continental-level persistence does not, by itself, show that species are secure at local sites.4
  • The records are extensive, but estimates of trends were possible for only around 40% of species. An external expert also noted geographic and historical biases, including sparse, opportunistic records in the first half of the twentieth century.2

Conservation context

Why this matters

The results distinguish the persistence of many species across Europe from declines in the places where individual species are recorded. That distinction matters when interpreting broad regional patterns alongside changes affecting particular species.14

The developing story

What happens next

The reporting leaves open how these occupancy trends compare with standardised measures of abundance, whether finer-scale analysis would change the regional picture, and which environmental pressures explain differences between species and regions. The study does not resolve those questions.2

Established evidence

What we know

  • The analysis found declining occupancy for most bee species and about half of the hoverfly species assessed.1
  • Regional richness declined for both groups in Atlantic and Continental regions and was largely stable elsewhere, apart from reported recent increases in Alpine bee richness.2
  • Sources agree that the findings do not indicate widespread continental extinction to date, despite the reported occupancy declines.124

Open questions

What we don't know

  • The trend analysis does not establish which environmental pressures caused the observed occupancy changes. Some coverage associates patterns with climate change or habitat pressures, but the study does not demonstrate those causes.14
  • It remains unclear whether finer-scale analysis, particularly in southern Europe and the Alpine region, would alter the regional picture. The Science Media Centre Spain also reports an expert's caution about interpreting broad regional results.2
  • The findings do not answer how occupancy trends compare with direct, standardised measures of abundance and population change.2

Source coverage

Read the reporting

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